É«ºüÈë¿Ú

Election Polls 2021: Liberals and Conservatives are effectively tied

Shelby Thevenot
Published: September 17, 2021

Ahead of the last weekend before election day, support for both Liberals and Conservatives is so strong there is no clear front runner.

All voter polls in Canada suggest the race is tight. On , Liberals appear to be just ahead at 31.7 per cent compared to 31.2 per cent for the Conservatives. suggests support for the Liberals is at 31.9 per cent while the Conservatives are at 30.3 per cent, which is effectively a tie when factoring in the survey's margin of error. says Conservatives are ahead at 32 per cent compared to 30 per cent support for the Liberals, also a statistical tie. has the two parties tied at 31.8 per cent.

At the start of the week, voters were leaning slightly more Liberal. However, the week before Conservatives were leading the pack.

Support for the Conservatives is strongest in the Prairie Provinces: Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba. B.C. is favouring the New Democratic Party (NDP). Support for the Liberals is strongest in Atlantic Canada, Quebec, and Ontario, according to Angus Reid. agrees the Liberal's lead is thanks to support from Canada's two largest provinces.

The Conservatives and the Liberals have been the only two parties to ever hold office at the federal level, and it does not look like that will change in this election.

The , as well as the CBC Poll Tracker both suggest a Liberal minority is the most likely outcome — which is exactly what it was before the election campaign started. A minority government is when the leading party holds less than 50 per cent of the seats in the House of Commons. Its opposite is a majority government, where the winning party also has the most seats in the House.

Both parties are in favour of raising immigration levels, addressing backlogs, and improving credential recognition. The Liberals are once again promising to end citizenship fees, and to address systemic racism through a number of avenues, such as increasing funding to multicultural community programs. Conservatives say they will reform the (PGP) to a first-come-first served intake process, instead of a lottery. They also want to replace the Government-Assisted Refugee Program with more public-private sponsorship.

Canadians will vote on Monday, September 20. Advance voting has already started. More than 5.7 million Canadians have already voted at the advance polling stations, an 18 per cent increase over the 2019 election, according to Elections Canada.

© É«ºüÈë¿Ú All Rights Reserved. Visit to discover your Canadian immigration options.

Share this article
Share your voice
Did you find this article helpful?
Thank you for your feedback.
Subscribe to our newsletter
Did you find this article helpful?
Please provide a response
Thank you for your helpful feedback
Please contact us if you would like to share additional feedback, have a question, or would like Canadian immigration assistance.
  • Do you need Canadian immigration assistance? Contact the Contact Cohen Immigration Law firm by
  • Send us your feedback or your non-legal assistance questions by emailing us at media@canadavisa.com
Related articles
Canadian Immigration Lawyers Association recommends IRPA legislation reform
A young family at home having fun on sofa.
Statistics Canada releases new data on the educational achievements of racialized immigrants
Group of millenial young adult friends enjoying wintertime and in a snow-filled park
Report: Canada is the 2nd happiest country among the G7
Happy multigenerational people having fun sitting on grass in a public park
IRCC introduces two new immigration pilots for rural and French-minority communities
Coleman is a community in the Rocky Mountains within the Municipality of Crowsnest Pass in southwest Alberta, Canada.
Top Stories
Canada ranked 4th best country in the world in 2024
Business Insurance: An Overview for Newcomers to Canada
IRCC announces tighter cap for study permits and changes to PGWP eligibility
Join our free newsletter. Get Canada's top immigration stories delivered to your inbox.
Subscribe
More in Work
IRCC announces tighter cap for study permits and changes to PGWP eligibility
Parliament Hill in Ottawa
Destination Canada holds virtual job fair for bilingual candidates
A person siting in the living room, preparing for a virtual interview online.
IRCC introduces new LMIA-exempt work permit for select tech companies in Canada
A woman in a suit starts at a tablet while standing next to a window
Maintained status: What do I need to know?
Picture of a man smiling and holding a tablet
Link copied to clipboard