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March has marked another month of draws, as Canada’s immigration system continues to invite candidates to apply for (PR)

Certain trends continued through last month’s draws that may provide further understanding of how Express Entry may continue throughout the year.

How does the composition of the Express Entry candidate pool influence score cut-offs and draw sizes?

While it can be difficult to understand how the make-up of the Express Entry pool impacts (CRS) score cut-offs and draw sizes, there are a few basic trends that can be observed.

Distribution of scores and CRS cut-offs

The distribution of current scores within the Express Entry pool is one of the factors that may have an impact on the CRS score cut-offs of upcoming draws

CRS scores within the pool may help IRCC decide both what the next appropriate cut-off score is for qualified candidates, and how large each draw should be.

While there may be other factors in the decision-making process here (for example, labor market needs or special immigration policy), CRS distribution within the pool may prove to be a contributing factor even in these instances, as it is a key indication of how well-adapted immigration candidates are within the pool.

Category-based draws also impact this distribution

In addition to standard, CRS score-based draws, (IRCC) conducts for Express Entry candidates These draws specifically target individuals with certain professional experience, or language ability (instead of CRS scores), to meet labor market and demographic needs in Canada.

While these draws look beyond CRS scores, they still impact the distribution of scores in the Express Entry pool when they invite candidates. Thus, paying attention to these draws in analysis may prove useful.

What Express Entry draws occurred in March?

March saw four Express Entry draws throughout the month.

Two of these draws were general draws, which invited candidates from who met the needed CRS cut-off. Cut-off scores have remained higher than last year; however, this is not uncommon towards the start of the year, with cut-offs historically lowering for general draws as the year progresses.

The two other draws were category-based selections for transport occupations and French language proficiency. This marked the first transport occupations and the third French-language proficiency draw of the year. Thus far the federal Express Entry system has been inviting French-speaking candidates to apply for PR at a faster rate than Quebec’s immigration system, with these draws featuring some of the lowest CRS score cut-offs in Express Entry’s history.

More draw information is included in the table below.

Draw date	Round type	Invitations issued	CRS score cut-off
12-03-24	General	2,850	525
13-03-24	Transport occupations	975	430
25-03-24	General	1,980	524
26-03-24	French language proficiency	1,500	388

The current state of the Express Entry pool—March 2024

The Express Entry candidate pool now has a total of 211,944 profiles, showing a slight increase of roughly 700 profiles from the total number at the end of February. Score distributions have been maintained at roughly the same volume, with slight changes based on how many candidates entered within a specific score range. A complete table of score distributions and number of people in the pool can be found below.

Score Ranges	Number of candidates
0-300	5,390
301-350	28,287
351-400	55,586
401-410	10,495
411-420	10,610
421-430	9,296
431-440	10,309
441-450	10,172
451-460	11,188
461-470	13,218
471-480	17,105
481-490	10,683
491-500	8,294
501-600	10,324
601-1200	987

These scores have also been mapped out below to better visualize the pool. As we can see the highest volume of scores sit between the 351-400 CRS points boundary.

What percentile is your score in the pool?

By taking the upper boundary of each score range, we can also determine what percentile a score is in when compared to the rest of the scores in the Express Entry candidate pool.

Percentiles show how a certain score compares against the total make-up of scores. For example, if someone has a CRS score of 420, their percentile score is 52.07%—meaning that their score is higher than 52.07% of the total scores in the pool.

Find the complete breakdown of score percentiles below:

Score	Percentile (%)
300	2.54
350	15.89
400	42.12
410	47.07
420	52.07
430	56.46
440	61.32
450	66.12
460	71.40
470	77.64
480	85.71
490	90.75
500	94.66
600	99.53
1200	100